Mithrandir Metrics
DET 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

Dillon Dingler

DET · Hitter · bats R · age 28
IN · 7 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupDET vs CLELogan Allen
Sample1006.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 52.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 52.0% Market 72.2% Gap +13.4pp
FanDuel 115 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 17.8
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 17.8% Market -- Gap +12.5pp
FanDuel 230 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
81 +25 vs proj
Exit velocity88.2
53
Hard-hit%42.5%
69
xBA0.353
83
xSLG0.626
85
xwOBA0.348
89
BB%5.7%
20
Bat speed70.3
62
K%21.8%
54
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.2 · C
95
Catcher Throwing2.3 · C
90
Framing Runs6.7 · C
98
Pop Time1.9 · C
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · C
57
Sprint Speed27.3 · C
47
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.7%
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0%
39
Correct Decisions65.9%
47
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.357 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.250 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.332
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.307 to 0.391
RegressionNegative · -0.019
Opposing pitcherLogan Allen
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)