Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

James Wood

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 1 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupWSH vs SEABryce Miller
Sample1155.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 24.4
F 26.0
V 26.0
Model 22.0% Market 16.4% Gap +4.9pp
FanDuel 485 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 63.4
F 75.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 74.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 63.4% Market 73.7% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel -110 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 22.6
F 21.4 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 22.6% Market -- Gap +8.6pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%12.6%
99
Exit velocity96.0
100
Hard-hit%58.1%
99
xBA0.439
100
xSLG0.978
100
xwOBA0.431
100
BB%16.3%
98 +19 vs proj
Bat speed73.5
92
K%30.4%
12
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · RF
66
Arm Strength95.7 · RF
76
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
9
Range Runs-3.6 · RF
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · RF
69
Bolts4.0 · RF
51
SB Success Rate87.5% · RF
74
Sprint Speed27.7 · RF
61
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.9%
95
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9%
41
Correct Decisions69.2%
78
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.336 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.257 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.320
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.413
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.392
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.317 to 0.426
RegressionNegative · -0.003
Opposing pitcherBryce Miller
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-14
Palantir 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 5634 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 sample building
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)