Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Colson Montgomery

CWS · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 4 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCWS vs MINJoe Ryan
Sample468.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 25 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.8
F 11.4
V 11.4
Model 17.6% Market 23.3% Gap -5.7pp
BetMGM 330 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.1
F 67.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V 71.5 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 62.1% Market 67.9% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel 125 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 2.0
F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +10.8pp
FanDuel 10000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.0%
52
Barrel%7.5%
79
Bat speed74.1
95
Exit velocity90.1
72
Hard-hit%44.7%
70
K%30.3%
12
xBA0.328
56
xSLG0.678
89
xwOBA0.331
69
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.5 · SS
23
Outs Above Avg2.0 · SS
81
Range Runs7.3 · SS
99
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.9 · SS
3
Sprint Speed26.5 · SS
28
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.8% · rebadged research
37
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.323 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.368 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.288 to 0.363
RegressionNegative · -0.043
Opposing pitcherJoe Ryan
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)