Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Daylen Lile

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs MIASandy Alcantara
Sample558.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 20.4
F 11.4
V 11.4
Model 17.3% Market 11.1% Gap +5.8pp
DraftKings 770 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 60.7
F 77.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 76.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 60.7% Market 74.0% Gap +2.4pp
FanDuel -105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +6.5pp
FanDuel 7000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.0%
30
Barrel%5.6%
58
Bat speed69.1
43
Exit velocity87.9
42
Hard-hit%37.1%
39
K%18.0%
75
xBA0.314
39
xSLG0.523
54
xwOBA0.315
57 -18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · LF
91
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
17
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
90
Range Runs1.7 · LF
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · LF
19
Bolts13.0 · LF
78
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
94
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.2% · rebadged research
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.9% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
47
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
36
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.367
RegressionNegative · -0.031
Opposing pitcherSandy Alcantara
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)