Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-06-12 Refreshed Jun 18 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-12

Daylen Lile

WSH · Hitter
IN · 6 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupWSH vs SEABryce Miller
Sample592.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 23.8
F 13.6
V 13.6
Model 20.3% Market 11.1% Gap +8.8pp
DraftKings 770 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 62.1
F 77.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V 76.8 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 62.1% Market 74.7% Gap +2.5pp
FanDuel 105 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 25.2
F 25.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 25.2% Market -- Gap +6.0pp
FanDuel 220 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
60
Exit velocity88.0
47
Hard-hit%37.9%
42
xBA0.330
56
xSLG0.536
56
xwOBA0.331
68
BB%7.4%
35
Bat speed69.2
44
K%17.0%
79
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · LF
90
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
14
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
89
Range Runs1.8 · LF
73
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · LF
27
Bolts17.0 · LF
84
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
94
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1%
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.2%
77
Correct Decisions65.6%
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.392
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range--
RegressionNegative · -0.027
Opposing pitcherBryce Miller
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-18
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)