Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-08-31 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-08-31

Daylen Lile

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs MIARyan Gusto
Sample844.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.061, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.077, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.045, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.077, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 15.0
F 11.7
V 10.6
Model 18.3% Market 11.1% Gap +6.8pp
DraftKings 770 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 63.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 63.6% Market 79.0% Gap +15.1pp
FanDuel -120 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 27.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 27.7% Market -- Gap +7.4pp
FanDuel 185 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
70 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity88.5
57
Hard-hit%38.0%
48
xBA0.327
60
xSLG0.548
65
xwOBA0.324
72
BB%6.1%
23
Bat speed69.8
51
K%18.7%
73
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.1 · LF
77
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
11
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
87
Range Runs1.3 · LF
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · LF
66
Bolts27.0 · LF
81
SB Success Rate61.5% · LF
14
Sprint Speed29.3 · LF
94
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.4%
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.2%
89
Correct Decisions66.2%
51
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323
76
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
39
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.305 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.392
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.367
RegressionNegative · -0.013
Opposing pitcherRyan Gusto
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-08-31
Palantir 17748 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17748 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12111 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1556 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1052 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.017 14d error rising
Palantir 8442 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.048 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 663 props Brier 0.164 ECE 0.032 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 870 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.062 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)