Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-09-04 Refreshed Sep 4 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-04

Daylen Lile

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs LADBlake Snell
Sample853.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.067, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.049, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 9.7
F 7.2
V 8.0
Model 11.0% Market 10.4% Gap +0.3pp
DraftKings 830 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 57.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 69.4% Market 70.6% Gap +12.9pp
BetMGM -240 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
73 +20 vs proj
Exit velocity88.6
58
Hard-hit%38.5%
51
xBA0.329
62
xSLG0.558
68
xwOBA0.329
77
BB%6.4%
27
Bat speed69.9
53
K%18.6%
73
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.9 · LF
89
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
11
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs0.9 · LF
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · LF
66
Bolts29.0 · LF
82
SB Success Rate61.5% · LF
14
Sprint Speed29.3 · LF
93
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.9%
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.1%
89
Correct Decisions66.5%
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.310 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.391
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.367
RegressionNegative · -0.014
Opposing pitcherBlake Snell
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-04
Palantir 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18372 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12714 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1629 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1125 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 8804 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 922 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)