Mithrandir Metrics
WSH 2026-09-11 Refreshed Sep 11 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-09-11

Daylen Lile

WSH · Hitter · bats L · age 24
IN · 3 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupWSH vs LAAYusei Kikuchi
Sample875.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.060, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.063, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Hits · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.062, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 12.7
F 10.3
V 12.8
Model 15.0% Market 10.4% Gap +4.2pp
DraftKings 830 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 59.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 72.5% Market 73.7% Gap +14.0pp
BetMGM -280 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
77 +23 vs proj
Exit velocity88.6
59
Hard-hit%38.6%
51
xBA0.327
60
xSLG0.563
70
xwOBA0.327
75
BB%6.2%
24
Bat speed69.9
54
K%19.3%
71 -16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.6 · LF
84
Arm Strength87.7 · LF
11
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
88
Range Runs1.2 · LF
60
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · LF
62
Bolts30.0 · LF
84
SB Success Rate57.1% · LF
9
Sprint Speed29.3 · LF
94
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.2%
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0%
86
Correct Decisions66.2%
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · small sample
57
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328
71
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
41
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.299
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.302 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.390
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.292 to 0.367
RegressionNegative · -0.012
Opposing pitcherYusei Kikuchi
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-11
Palantir 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 19641 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Valinor 13965 props Brier 0.113 ECE 0.003 14d stable
Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable
Palantir 9432 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.046 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 756 props Brier 0.167 ECE 0.038 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 986 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.054 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)