Mithrandir Metrics
COL 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Hunter Goodman

COL · Hitter · bats R · age 27
IN · 3 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCOL vs CINBrady Singer
Sample1159.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.3
F 14.7
V 14.0
Model 17.3% Market 17.4% Gap -0.7pp
DraftKings 455 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 59.2
F 58.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 57.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 66.7% Market 67.7% Gap +8.6pp
BetMGM -210 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.8%
95
Exit velocity91.4
89
Hard-hit%47.9%
85
xBA0.372
89
xSLG0.737
96
xwOBA0.334
74
BB%8.5%
49 +28 vs proj
Bat speed73.9
93
K%31.0%
13 -30 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.7 · C
82
Catcher Throwing-0.2 · C
46
Framing Runs-1.8 · C
27
Pop Time1.9 · C
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.9 · C
3
SB Success Rate50.0% · C
3
Sprint Speed27.3 · C
48
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.2%
9
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1%
40
Correct Decisions61.0%
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline90
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.311 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.317
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.412
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.273 to 0.354
RegressionNegative · -0.077
Opposing pitcherBrady Singer
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)