Mithrandir Metrics
NYY 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Ben Rice

NYY · Hitter · bats L · age 27
IN · 6 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupNYY vs CLEJoey Cantillo
Sample815.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.055, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run --
Home Run · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Total Bases 0.5
P 41.4
F 50.5 EXPERIMENTAL
V 49.9 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 41.4% Market 49.4% Gap +1.6pp
FanDuel 120 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 98.0
F 98.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 98.0% Market -- Gap +28.2pp
FanDuel 1500 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.0%
80
Barrel%10.8%
96
Bat speed70.0
55
Exit velocity92.3
92
Hard-hit%50.6%
92
K%23.2%
41 -21 vs proj
xBA0.399
95
xSLG0.771
97
xwOBA0.409
98
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
27
Range Runs-0.7 · 1B
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · 1B
33
Sprint Speed26.8 · 1B
36
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.0% · rebadged research
86
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions69.2% · rebadged research
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
84
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.317 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.322 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.452 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.333 to 0.413
RegressionNegative · -0.066
Opposing pitcherJoey Cantillo
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-02
Palantir 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3219 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d error rising
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)