Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-06-02 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-02

Kyle Manzardo

CLE · Hitter · bats L · age 26
IN · 3 Negative regression Hitter-Friendly
MatchupCLE vs NYYCam Schlittler
Sample774.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 22 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 17.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
Model 16.9% Market 17.1% Gap -0.8pp
DraftKings 465 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 45.3
F 60.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 63.4 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 45.3% Market 59.9% Gap +1.9pp
FanDuel 165 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.9%
50
Barrel%7.4%
78
Bat speed68.8
38
Exit velocity89.1
56
Hard-hit%41.3%
55
K%35.1%
3 -35 vs proj
xBA0.378
89
xSLG0.661
86
xwOBA0.316
56
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
27
Range Runs-0.6 · 1B
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · 1B
11
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.6% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
rebadged research
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.252 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.299 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
validated
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
Limited

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.285 to 0.354
RegressionNegative · -0.032
Opposing pitcherCam Schlittler
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)