Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-05-26 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-26

Chase Meidroth

CWS · Hitter · bats R · age 25
IN · 1 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCWS vs MINJoe Ryan
Sample638.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.079, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.047, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.064, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 1.9
F 4.7
V 3.5
Model 8.6% Market 7.7% Gap +0.6pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 36.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 36.3% Market 64.3% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel 180 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.4%
26
Exit velocity86.9
30
Hard-hit%40.1%
48
xBA0.326
51
xSLG0.470
35
xwOBA0.300
39
BB%10.1%
64 +19 vs proj
Bat speed64.3
5
K%22.3%
48 -39 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
31
Arm Strength81.3 · 2B
18
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 2B
81
Range Runs1.0 · 2B
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · 2B
45
Sprint Speed27.1 · 2B
46
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.7%
Small sample
Correct Decisions64.5%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.243 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.262 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.300 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.265 to 0.353
RegressionNegative · -0.087
Opposing pitcherJoe Ryan
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1577 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1073 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.016 14d error rising
Palantir 8544 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 891 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.060 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)