Mithrandir Metrics
CWS 2026-06-01 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-06-01

Chase Meidroth

CWS · Hitter · bats R · age 25
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupCWS vs MINJoe Ryan
Sample662.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 6.8
F 4.7
V 4.7
Model 7.6% Market 7.7% Gap -0.4pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 36.3
F 64.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 67.6 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 36.3% Market 64.3% Gap +2.1pp
FanDuel 170 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 2.0
F 2.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 2.0% Market -- Gap +7.2pp
FanDuel 10000 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.8%
63 +20 vs proj
Barrel%4.2%
38 +23 vs proj
Bat speed64.4
5
Exit velocity87.3
36
Hard-hit%40.2%
50
K%21.1%
56 -31 vs proj
xBA0.322
49
xSLG0.468
36
xwOBA0.301
41
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
39
Arm Strength81.3 · 2B
17
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
71
Range Runs0.5 · 2B
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · 2B
53
Sprint Speed27.0 · 2B
42
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Limited
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.9% · rebadged research
82
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.5% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
borderline
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
validated thin sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
insufficient sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.360 · validated
validated
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
validated

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.265 to 0.353
RegressionNegative · -0.081
Opposing pitcherJoe Ryan
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-06-01
Palantir 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.030 14d stable
Fangorn 3096 props Brier 0.126 ECE 0.009 14d error falling
Valinor 1176 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.013 14d stable
Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building
Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 194 props Brier 0.262 ECE 0.207 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 2 props Brier 0.560 ECE 0.748 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 40 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.040 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)