Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-05-28 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-05-28

Luke Keaschall

MIN · Hitter · bats R · age 24
IN · 1 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupMIN vs CWSDavis Martin
Sample369.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 24 rows LINEUPS tracking; not posted NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.068, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.053, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 2.3
F 2.8
V 2.1
Model 10.3% Market 10.6% Gap -0.7pp
FanDuel 810 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 72.6
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 72.6% Market 70.3% Gap +2.3pp
FanDuel -270 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
24
Exit velocity85.0
14
Hard-hit%30.5%
15
xBA0.267
10
xSLG0.384
13
xwOBA0.281
24 -22 vs proj
BB%8.2%
42
Bat speed66.3
14
K%13.8%
90
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.2 · 2B
31
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
27
Range Runs-1.5 · 2B
25
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.0 · 2B
96
SB Success Rate81.8% · 2B
54
Sprint Speed28.6 · 2B
86
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.0%
Small sample
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.0%
Small sample
Correct Decisions68.2%
Small sample
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.245 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286
Small sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357
Small sample
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.301 to 0.344
RegressionNegative · -0.069
Opposing pitcherDavis Martin
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable
Palantir 1591 props Brier 0.247 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1087 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.016 14d stable
Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 900 props Brier 0.256 ECE 0.059 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)