Mithrandir Metrics
MIN 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-17

Luke Keaschall

MIN · Hitter · bats R · age 24
IN · 8 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupMIN vs CHCColin Rea
Sample488.0career MLB AB
PROPS 2 available PERCENTILES 27 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 14.7
F 12.0
V 13.7
Model 15.9% Market 10.5% Gap +5.0pp
DraftKings 820 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 63.4
F 64.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V 63.0 EXPERIMENTAL
FULL
Model 72.4% Market 73.3% Gap +9.9pp
BetMGM -275 tracking Open board
Hits --
Hits · tracking

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
17 -22 vs proj
Exit velocity84.9
16
Hard-hit%31.4%
19
xBA0.284
16
xSLG0.411
15
xwOBA0.299
43
BB%9.1%
55 +21 vs proj
Bat speed66.9
19
K%14.4%
88
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · 2B
9
Arm Strength92.3 · 2B
85
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · 2B
3
Range Runs-4.9 · 2B
10
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.6 · 2B
96
Bolts1.0 · 2B
15
SB Success Rate84.6% · 2B
64
Sprint Speed28.8 · 2B
88
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.4%
85
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6%
44
Correct Decisions68.8%
76
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.301 to 0.344
RegressionNegative · -0.059
Opposing pitcherColin Rea
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)