Mithrandir Metrics
SF 2026-07-19 Refreshed Jul 20 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-07-19

Jung Hoo Lee

SF · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 6 Negative regression Pitcher-Friendly
MatchupSF vs SEALogan Gilbert
Sample1044.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.097, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Valinor calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.076, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.065, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 8.4
F 7.4
V 9.0
Model 8.5% Market 7.7% Gap +0.5pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 48.3
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 48.3% Market 70.2% Gap +9.1pp
FanDuel 185 tracking Open board
Hits 0.5
P 15.7
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 15.7% Market -- Gap +7.9pp
FanDuel 340 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.2%
14
Exit velocity87.0
36
Hard-hit%30.3%
15 -16 vs proj
xBA0.328
58
xSLG0.427
21
xwOBA0.315
59
BB%4.3%
10 -23 vs proj
Bat speed66.6
16
K%9.2%
99
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.9 · RF
8
Arm Strength95.4 · RF
69
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
11
Range Runs-3.8 · RF
13
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · RF
53
Sprint Speed27.3 · RF
48
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.1%
53
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.5%
12
Correct Decisions64.3%
31
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373
Small sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.319
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.310 to 0.369
RegressionNegative · -0.051
Opposing pitcherLogan Gilbert
EnvironmentPitcher-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-20
Palantir 10059 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 10059 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.011 14d stable
Valinor 4464 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.006 14d stable
Palantir 860 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.035 14d error rising
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 356 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.041 14d stable
Palantir 4739 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.076 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 288 props Brier 0.176 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 462 props Brier 0.260 ECE 0.055 14d error falling
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)