Mithrandir Metrics
SF 2026-08-31 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player detail · 2026-08-31

Jung Hoo Lee

SF · Hitter · bats L · age 28
IN · 5 Negative regression Neutral
MatchupSF vs ATLBryce Elder
Sample1176.0career MLB AB
PROPS 3 available PERCENTILES 26 rows LINEUPS confirmed artifact NO PROSE templated rows only
Strikeouts · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.061, 14d stable. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Strikeouts · Valinor calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.077, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Total Bases · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.045, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Pitcher Outs · Palantir calibration review Last 14d ECE 0.077, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Tonight's props · all markets for this player
Home Run 0.5
P 8.6
F 11.3
V 7.2
Model 10.6% Market 7.7% Gap +2.6pp
DraftKings 1150 tracking Open board
Total Bases 0.5
P 51.4
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 51.4% Market 72.2% Gap +13.2pp
FanDuel 140 tracking Open board
Hits 1.5
P 21.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 21.0% Market -- Gap +8.4pp
FanDuel 240 tracking Open board
RBI --
RBI · no production board

No production board publishes this player-market cell today.

Underlying skill · actual percentile with projection tick

Percentile strip

100th = best in MLB
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
15
Exit velocity87.2
43
Hard-hit%31.5%
21
xBA0.326
57
xSLG0.432
24
xwOBA0.319
68
BB%5.0%
14 -19 vs proj
Bat speed66.5
16
K%9.5%
99
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.7 · RF
15
Arm Strength95.4 · RF
65
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
11
Range Runs-4.1 · RF
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · RF
68
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
94
Sprint Speed27.4 · RF
49
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.3%
50
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.2%
17
Correct Decisions64.9%
38
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · small sample
small sample
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295
Small sample
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · thin sample
thin sample
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.306
Small sample

Context

projection · regression · matchup
Projected range0.310 to 0.369
RegressionNegative · -0.034
Opposing pitcherBryce Elder
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-08-31
Palantir 17748 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17748 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12111 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Palantir 1556 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.005 14d stable
Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building
Valinor 1052 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.017 14d error rising
Palantir 8442 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.048 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 663 props Brier 0.164 ECE 0.032 14d stable
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 870 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.062 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)