Mithrandir Metrics
Player Buffalo Bisons Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Buffalo Bisons

Max Scherzer

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 208 lb · Age 41

Cards
12
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Buffalo Bisons Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024243.9599043.1401.15
2025555.191717085.0821.29
20261410.2366022.0141.73
19 Seasons2221213.2748948002985.035031.09
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
9
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
15
Arsenal5 metrics
39
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason4.57
ERA current pace10.23
ERA rolling p506.47
Observed weight34%
ERA
5.35 5.88 6.47 7.05 7.58
FIP
4.99 5.29 5.62 5.96 6.26
K%
15.7% 17.6% 19.7% 21.8% 23.7%
BB%
6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 9.2% 10.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.57
12
ERA10.23
0
BB%10.7%
26 -47 vs proj
K%14.0%
5 -41 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.378
5 -31 vs proj
Barrel allowed13.3%
3 -30 vs proj
Fastball velo93.1
27
Hard-hit allowed37.8%
58
Whiff%15.5%
3 -32 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+103
54
Curveball Stuff+100
24
Fastball Stuff+104
61
Mithrandir Stuff+101
38
Slider Stuff+97
18
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Scherzer, Max · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.378 2026-07-07: 0.3772026-07-08: 0.3772026-07-09: 0.3772026-07-10: 0.3772026-07-11: 0.3772026-07-12: 0.3772026-07-13: 0.3772026-07-14: 0.3782026-07-15: 0.3782026-07-16: 0.3782026-07-17: 0.3782026-07-18: 0.378 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Scherzer, Max · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 16%16%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Scherzer, Max · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 48.2%Slider: 22.1%Changeup: 15.9%Curveball: 12.9%Cutter: 1.0% FF48% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 48%SL 22%CH 16%CU 13%FC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Scherzer, Max · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 48% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 93.1 mphFF93 mphSlider: 22% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 86.1 mphSL86 mphChangeup: 16% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 84.3 mphCH84 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 75.9 mphCU76 mphCutter: 1% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 88.7 mphFC89 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 47.2% 162 104 limited sample
SL 22.4% 77 97 limited sample
CH 14.9% 51 103 limited sample
CB 14.0% 48 100 limited sample
FC 1.5% 5 91 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age41
Height6' 3"
Weight208 lb
Debut2008-04-29
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+5.90
K% Δ-0.080
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching122026-04-244-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.0% K | 4.33 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 vs MIN8 ER / 3 K2.1 IP
2026-04-06 vs LAD2 ER / 2 K2.0 IP
2026-03-31 vs COL1 ER / 4 K6.0 IP