Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Fernando Cruz

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 237 lb · Age 36

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024384.86693066.21091.34
2025343.56490248.0721.19
2026432.20450141.0511.22
5 Seasons11183.9223573236.13511.24
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
71
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
73
Arsenal4 metrics
38
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.87
ERA current pace2.25
ERA rolling p503.19
Observed weight42%
ERA
1.51 2.31 3.19 4.08 4.88
FIP
1.29 2.13 3.07 4.00 4.85
K%
28.7% 31.0% 33.5% 36.0% 38.2%
BB%
8.9% 10.3% 11.8% 13.3% 14.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.23
65
ERA2.25
91
BB%12.8%
14
K%30.8%
95
xwOBA allowed0.266
91
Barrel allowed6.3%
72 +33 vs proj
Fastball velo93.2
28
Hard-hit allowed23.2%
100
Whiff%39.5%
100
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Fastball Stuff+101
42
Mithrandir Stuff+99
27
Sinker Stuff+90
4
Slider Stuff+106
80
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cruz, Fernando · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.266 2026-07-07: 0.2742026-07-08: 0.2742026-07-09: 0.2742026-07-10: 0.2702026-07-11: 0.2702026-07-12: 0.2672026-07-13: 0.2662026-07-14: 0.2662026-07-15: 0.2662026-07-16: 0.2662026-07-17: 0.2662026-07-18: 0.266 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 52%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cruz, Fernando · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 40%40%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 23%23% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cruz, Fernando · 2026 arsenal snapshot Split-Finger: 51.5%4-Seam Fastball: 32.7%Slider: 12.8%Sinker: 3.0% FS52% · 80 mphprimary pitch FS 52%FF 33%SL 13%SI 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cruz, Fernando · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Split-Finger: 52% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 79.9 mphFS80 mph4-Seam Fastball: 33% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 93.2 mphFF93 mphSlider: 13% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 82.4 mphSL82 mphSinker: 3% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 92.7 mphSI93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 65.7% 151 101 limited sample
SL 28.3% 65 106 limited sample
SI 6.1% 14 90 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age36
Height6' 2"
Weight237 lb
Debut2022-09-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.31
K% Δ-0.034

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.4σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.279
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.266

Cruz’s wOBA-against sits at 0.279, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.266 — a gap of 0.013, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 41 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202634.2% K | 3.57 ERAProjection
2026-04-15 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-13 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-11 @ TB0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-07 vs ATH0 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-05 vs MIA1 ER / 2 K0.2 IP