Mithrandir Metrics
Player Tampa Bay Rays Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays

Craig Kimbrel

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 215 lb · Age 38

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Tampa Bay Rays Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024755.335702352.1731.36
2025012.25140012.0171.42
2026024.66280029.0271.31
17 Seasons56502.668790440850.213091.03
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
40
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
51
Arsenal4 metrics
37
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.64
ERA current pace4.82
ERA rolling p504.05
Observed weight35%
ERA
2.19 3.07 4.05 5.03 5.91
FIP
2.32 3.12 4.01 4.90 5.70
K%
21.1% 23.5% 26.1% 28.8% 31.1%
BB%
7.2% 8.6% 10.3% 11.9% 13.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.36
42
ERA4.82
29
BB%9.4%
41 +19 vs proj
K%22.7%
51 -26 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.326
37
Barrel allowed3.5%
95 +67 vs proj
Fastball velo93.6
36
Hard-hit allowed36.5%
66
Whiff%24.1%
58
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Fastball Stuff+102
45
Curveball Stuff+98
7
Mithrandir Stuff+101
44
Slider Stuff+102
52
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Kimbrel, Craig · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.326 2026-07-07: 0.3322026-07-08: 0.3322026-07-09: 0.3322026-07-10: 0.3322026-07-11: 0.3282026-07-12: 0.3282026-07-13: 0.3282026-07-14: 0.3272026-07-15: 0.3272026-07-16: 0.3272026-07-17: 0.3272026-07-18: 0.326 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 68%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Kimbrel, Craig · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 35%35%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Kimbrel, Craig · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 68.5%Sweeper: 15.6%Knuckle Curve: 9.9%Sinker: 3.1%Changeup: 2.1%Cutter: 0.8% FF68% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 68%ST 16%KC 10%SI 3%CH 2%FC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Kimbrel, Craig · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 68% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 93.6 mphFF94 mphSweeper: 16% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 85.4 mphST85 mphKnuckle Curve: 10% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 48″ drop, 83.7 mphKC84 mphSinker: 3% usage, 18″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 93.6 mphSI94 mphChangeup: 2% usage, 17″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 88.6 mphCH89 mphCutter: 1% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 90.2 mphFC90 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 73.0% 230 102 qualified
SL 15.9% 50 102 limited sample
CB 10.2% 32 98 limited sample
SI 0.6% 2 96 limited sample
CH 0.3% 1 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age38
Height6' 0"
Weight215 lb
Debut2010-05-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.21
K% Δ-0.040
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.7% K | 3.61 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ WSH2 ER / 2 K2.2 IP
2026-04-13 @ LAD0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs ATH0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP