Kimbrel, Craig
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.64 |
| ERA current pace | 5.63 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.13 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 74.2% | 193 | 101 | limited sample |
| SL | 15.4% | 40 | 105 | limited sample |
| CB | 10.0% | 26 | 97 | limited sample |
| CH | 0.4% | 1 | 97 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 35.1 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 152 | -- | -- |
| K% | 26.7% | 21.4% to 36.0% | +/- 7.3% |
| BB% | 11.2% | 7.0% to 15.9% | +/- 4.4% |
| Whiff% | 24.2% | 20.6% to 34.6% | +/- 7.0% |
| HR/9 | 1.22 | 0.28 to 2.06 | +/- 0.89 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.320 | 0.236 to 0.385 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.1% | 4.5% to 15.1% | +/- 5.3% |
| ERA | 3.60 | 1.81 to 6.84 | +/- 2.51 |
| FIP | 3.95 | 2.08 to 6.65 | +/- 2.28 |
| WHIP | 1.274 | 0.965 to 1.748 | +/- 0.391 |
1101 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.305 |
| K% | 27.2% |
| BB% | 13.1% |
| Barrel | 10.9% |
1250 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 27.3% |
| BB% | 9.7% |
| Barrel | 10.7% |