Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2014-08-05 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Javier Báez
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 190 lb · Age 33
Club Detroit Tigers
Position SS
Roster Injured 60-Day
Status IL-60
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 289 | 25 | 50 | 6 | 8 | .184 | .221 | .294 | .515 |
| 2025 | 437 | 55 | 107 | 12 | 5 | .257 | .282 | .398 | .680 |
| 2026 | 82 | 10 | 20 | 2 | 1 | .256 | .280 | .397 | .677 |
| 13 Seasons | 5200 | 663 | 1226 | 195 | 116 | .252 | .292 | .433 | .725 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
35
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.0%
12
Exit velocity86.9
34
Hard-hit%33.3%
25
xBA0.343
72
xSLG0.455
30
xwOBA0.294
36
BB%3.0%
5
Bat speed71.0
71
K%20.0%
65
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.7 · SS
88
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
18
Arm Runs-0.2 · SS
Small sample
Range Runs-1.5 · SS
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · SS
44
SB Success Rate50.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 46.2% · rebadged research
3
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.1% · rebadged research
60
Correct Decisions54.8% · rebadged research
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · borderline
91
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.356 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373 · validated
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
46
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline84
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
76 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Báez’s wOBA sits at 0.381, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.294 — a gap of 0.087, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 100 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2025-10-10 | Swing decisions lagged behind the production line |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | CS |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-12 vs MIA0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-09 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B |