Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2014-08-05 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Javier Báez
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 190 lb · Age 33
Club Detroit Tigers
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 289 | 25 | 50 | 6 | 8 | .184 | .221 | .294 | .515 |
| 2025 | 437 | 55 | 107 | 12 | 5 | .257 | .282 | .398 | .680 |
| 2026 | 173 | 24 | 41 | 2 | 1 | .248 | .277 | .364 | .641 |
| 13 Seasons | 5291 | 677 | 1247 | 195 | 116 | .251 | .292 | .431 | .723 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
23
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.264 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.279 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.251
0.264
0.279
0.294
0.308
wOBA
0.278
0.299
0.322
0.345
0.365
ISO
0.100
0.117
0.136
0.154
0.171
K%
18.5%
19.9%
21.5%
23.1%
24.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.6%
8
-35 vs proj
Exit velocity86.5
34
Hard-hit%36.3%
40
xBA0.303
32
xSLG0.392
11
xwOBA0.264
15
-20 vs proj
BB%3.1%
4
Bat speed72.1
80
K%18.8%
73
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · SS
12
Arm Strength92.7 · SS
87
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS
27
Range Runs-1.6 · SS
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · SS
38
Sprint Speed27.1 · SS
41
SB Success Rate33.3% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 50.6% · rebadged research
5
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions56.1% · rebadged research
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.254 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256 · validated thin sample
93
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.374 · validated
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline85
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
122 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.032 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Báez’s wOBA sits at 0.322, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.264 — a gap of 0.058, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 191 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2025-10-10 | Swing decisions lagged behind the production line |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.290 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | CS |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-12 vs MIA0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |