Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Mets Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Mets

Clay Holmes

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
10
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Mets Position P Roster Injured 60-Day Status IL-60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.50
ERA current pace2.39
ERA rolling p502.97
Observed weight47%
ERA
1.90 2.41 2.97 3.54 4.05
FIP
2.94 3.29 3.68 4.07 4.42
K%
17.4% 18.9% 20.6% 22.3% 23.8%
BB%
6.5% 7.3% 8.2% 9.2% 10.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%8.4%
55
Barrel allowed5.3%
79 +19 vs proj
Fastball velo93.7
37
Hard-hit allowed44.0%
22
K%20.9%
40
Whiff%19.6%
21
xwOBA allowed0.306
58
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+105
75
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Holmes, Clay · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3072026-05-19: 0.3072026-05-21: 0.3072026-05-23: 0.3072026-05-24: 0.3062026-05-25: 0.3062026-05-26: 0.3062026-05-28: 0.3062026-05-29: 0.3062026-05-30: 0.3062026-05-31: 0.3062026-06-01: 0.306 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 50%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Holmes, Clay · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Holmes, Clay · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 50.5%Sweeper: 19.0%Changeup: 14.6%Curveball: 8.8%Cutter: 7.0%4-Seam Fastball: 0.1% MIX SI 50%ST 19%CH 15%CU 9%FC 7%FF 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Holmes, Clay · 2026 arsenal snapshot SI: HB -0.2, IVB 2.4SIST: HB 0.0, IVB 3.8STCH: HB -0.5, IVB 3.1CHCU: HB 0.2, IVB 4.7CUFC: HB -0.0, IVB 2.6FCFF: HB -0.7, IVB 1.4FF horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 50.5% 418 102 qualified
SL 19.0% 157 105 limited sample
CH 14.6% 121 110 limited sample
CB 8.8% 73 101 limited sample
FC 7.0% 58 103 limited sample
FB 0.1% 1 110 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 5"
Weight245 lb
Debut2018-04-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.69
K% Δ+0.017

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching102026-05-09Sinker played up through CH/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202619.2% K | 4.08 ERAProjection
2026-04-15 @ LAD2 ER / 4 K5.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ SF0 ER / 4 K7.0 IP
2026-03-30 @ STL2 ER / 5 K5.2 IP