Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Lucas Giolito

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
--
Club San Diego Padres Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.15
ERA current pace2.70
ERA rolling p503.87
Observed weight19%
ERA
2.72 3.27 3.87 4.48 5.03
FIP
4.16 4.58 5.05 5.52 5.94
K%
15.5% 17.2% 19.1% 21.0% 22.8%
BB%
8.8% 9.9% 11.2% 12.4% 13.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+98
22
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 40%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Giolito, Lucas · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 39%39%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Giolito, Lucas · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 40.2%Changeup: 39.8%Slider: 16.6%Curveball: 3.3% MIX FF 40%CH 40%SL 17%CU 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Giolito, Lucas · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.3FFCH: HB -0.2, IVB 2.5CHSL: HB -0.1, IVB 2.9SLCU: HB 0.3, IVB 5.2CU horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 42.3% 69 98 limited sample
CH 38.7% 63 104 limited sample
SL 16.0% 26 94 limited sample
CB 3.1% 5 108 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 6"
Weight245 lb
Debut2016-06-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-05-23Changeup played up through CH/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202619.3% K | 4.42 ERAProjection