Mithrandir Metrics
Player Philadelphia Phillies Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies

José Alvarado

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 245 lb · Age 31

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Philadelphia Phillies Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024254.096601361.2631.25
2025423.81280726.0321.31
2026315.25300124.0321.63
10 Seasons22283.58438153392.15011.34
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
47
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
66
Arsenal3 metrics
36
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-12
ERA preseason3.68
ERA current pace5.91
ERA rolling p504.46
Observed weight35%
ERA
2.77 3.57 4.46 5.34 6.14
FIP
2.72 3.19 3.70 4.22 4.69
K%
20.8% 23.3% 26.1% 28.8% 31.3%
BB%
5.8% 7.1% 8.6% 10.1% 11.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.63
9
ERA5.91
11
BB%7.8%
66 +27 vs proj
K%26.4%
79
xwOBA allowed0.293
68
Barrel allowed2.6%
97 +49 vs proj
Fastball velo98.1
95
Hard-hit allowed32.5%
87
Whiff%28.0%
84
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-12
Sinker Stuff+104
66
Cutter Stuff+90
1
Mithrandir Stuff+101
42
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Alvarado, José · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.293 2026-06-01: 0.2952026-06-02: 0.2952026-06-03: 0.2952026-06-04: 0.2892026-06-05: 0.3042026-06-06: 0.3042026-06-07: 0.3042026-06-08: 0.2992026-06-09: 0.2992026-06-10: 0.2992026-06-11: 0.2962026-06-12: 0.293 2026-06-01 2026-06-12 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 64%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Alvarado, José · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 28%28%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Alvarado, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 63.8%Cutter: 33.3%Curveball: 1.5%4-Seam Fastball: 1.5% SI64% · 98 mphprimary pitch SI 64%FC 33%CU 1%FF 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Alvarado, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 64% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 98.2 mphSI98 mphCutter: 33% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 91.7 mphFC92 mphCurveball: 1% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 85.8 mphCU86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 1% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 97.2 mphFF97 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 62.6% 268 104 qualified
FC 33.6% 144 90 limited sample
CB 1.9% 8 106 limited sample
FB 1.9% 8 91 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 2"
Weight245 lb
Debut2017-05-03
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+2.48
K% Δ+0.011
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.3% K | 3.43 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs CIN2 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 vs CHC0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 vs AZ2 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-11 vs AZ0 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-08 @ SF1 ER / 2 K0.2 IP