Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Tejay Antone

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 230 lb · Age 32

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2023001.595105.270.88
2024004.504002.023.00
2026102.17290129.0260.90
5 Seasons332.387454105.21220.97
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
82
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
75
Arsenal6 metrics
43
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason3.92
ERA current pace2.25
ERA rolling p503.34
Observed weight35%
ERA
1.10 2.16 3.34 4.52 5.58
FIP
2.08 2.99 4.00 5.00 5.91
K%
14.7% 17.4% 20.3% 23.3% 26.0%
BB%
4.5% 5.9% 7.4% 8.9% 10.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.97
92
ERA2.25
91
BB%5.5%
92 +62 vs proj
K%22.0%
46
xwOBA allowed0.268
90 +30 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.0%
76 +22 vs proj
Fastball velo94.7
53
Hard-hit allowed34.9%
76
Whiff%23.9%
57 +16 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Curveball Stuff+101
38
Cutter Stuff+100
39
Fastball Stuff+100
34
Mithrandir Stuff+103
58
Sinker Stuff+94
10
Slider Stuff+106
81
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Antone, Tejay · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.268 2026-07-06: 0.2892026-07-07: 0.2812026-07-08: 0.2812026-07-09: 0.2812026-07-10: 0.2812026-07-11: 0.2752026-07-12: 0.2752026-07-13: 0.2682026-07-14: 0.2682026-07-15: 0.2682026-07-16: 0.2682026-07-17: 0.268 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 47%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Antone, Tejay · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 21%21%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Antone, Tejay · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 46.6%Cutter: 21.5%Curveball: 12.9%4-Seam Fastball: 8.9%Sinker: 7.4%Slider: 2.5% ST47% · 84 mphprimary pitch ST 47%FC 22%CU 13%FF 9%SI 7%SL 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Antone, Tejay · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sweeper: 47% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 84.1 mphST84 mphCutter: 22% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 90.7 mphFC91 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 81.7 mphCU82 mph4-Seam Fastball: 9% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 95.0 mphFF95 mphSinker: 7% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 94.3 mphSI94 mphSlider: 3% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 87.6 mphSL88 mphPitch Out: 0% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 93.1 mphPO93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 54.3% 113 106 limited sample
CB 17.3% 36 101 limited sample
FC 16.3% 34 100 limited sample
FB 6.7% 14 100 limited sample
SI 5.3% 11 94 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 4"
Weight230 lb
Debut2020-07-27
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-2.74
K% Δ+0.016

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.343
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.268

Antone’s wOBA-against sits at 0.343, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.268 — a gap of 0.076, 2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 31 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.4% K | 4.99 ERAProjection
2026-03-23 @ MIL1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-03-20 @ CHC0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-03-18 @ LAA1 ER / 2 K1.0 IP