Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Angels Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Angels

Adam Frazier

2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 190 lb · Age 34

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Angels Position 2B Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024294355343.202.282.294.576
20254594311278.267.319.365.684
202693151710.210.297.333.630
11 Seasons434652610326863.263.326.382.708
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
6
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
16
Defense4 metrics
44
Speed1 metrics
22
Plate skills13 metrics
42
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-12
xwOBA preseason0.286
xwOBA current pace0.237
xwOBA rolling p500.269
Observed weight34%
xwOBA
0.240 0.254 0.269 0.285 0.298
wOBA
0.303 0.330 0.360 0.391 0.418
ISO
0.087 0.107 0.129 0.151 0.171
K%
19.1% 20.6% 22.4% 24.2% 25.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.7%
10
Exit velocity80.9
3
Hard-hit%16.2%
1
xBA0.267
9
xSLG0.368
7
xwOBA0.237
4 -20 vs proj
BB%13.0%
87 +62 vs proj
Bat speed61.6
1
K%27.0%
26 -46 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
16
Arm Strength89.2 · 2B
76
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
45
Range Runs-0.7 · 2B
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · 2B
22
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-12
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.5% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
57
Changeup Stuff+89
2
Correct Decisions68.3% · rebadged research
70
Mithrandir Stuff+67
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
90
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
58
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
33
Resists FastballwOBA 0.363 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Slider Stuff+57
0
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Frazier, Adam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.312 0.237 2026-06-01: 0.2422026-06-02: 0.2472026-06-03: 0.2472026-06-04: 0.2382026-06-05: 0.2382026-06-06: 0.2372026-06-07: 0.2372026-06-08: 0.2372026-06-09: 0.2372026-06-10: 0.2372026-06-11: 0.2372026-06-12: 0.237 2026-06-01 2026-06-12 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 38%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Frazier, Adam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 33%33%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 16%16% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Frazier, Adam · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 37.8%Slider: 31.1%Other: 17.8%Curveball: 13.3% CH38% · 72 mphprimary pitch CH 38%SL 31%FA 18%CU 13% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Frazier, Adam · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Changeup: 38% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 4″ drop, 71.6 mphCH72 mphSlider: 31% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 7″ drop, 53.4 mphSL53 mphOther: 18% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 3″ drop, 72.9 mphFA73 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 8″ drop, 52.8 mphCU53 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 37.8% 17 89 limited sample
SL 31.1% 14 57 limited sample
FB 17.8% 8 78 limited sample
CB 13.3% 6 82 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age34
Height5' 10"
Weight190 lb
Debut2016-06-24
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.045
wOBA Δ+0.078

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-3.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.360
xwOBA (deserved)0.237

Frazier’s wOBA sits at 0.360, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.237 — a gap of 0.123, -3.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 115 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.283 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-04-20 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 3 K
2026-04-17 vs SD0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-15 @ NYY1 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, K, RBI
2026-04-14 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1