Mithrandir Metrics
Player Atlanta Braves Refreshed Oct 20 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Atlanta Braves

Reynaldo López

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 225 lb · Age 32

Cards
17
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Atlanta Braves Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024851.9926250135.21481.11
2025005.401105.012.20
2026454.542613079.1731.44
11 Seasons51593.992941366899.28391.29
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-20
34
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
40
Arsenal5 metrics
18
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-20
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.47
25
ERA4.54
36
BB%9.9%
39
K%20.8%
41
xwOBA allowed0.335
27
Barrel allowed7.6%
46
Fastball velo93.8
39
Hard-hit allowed35.5%
73
Whiff%20.5%
31
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-10-20
Fastball Stuff+103
56
Mithrandir Stuff+98
19
Slider Stuff+92
5
Changeup Stuff+90
5
Curveball Stuff+98
6
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed López, Reynaldo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.335 2026-10-09: 0.3352026-10-10: 0.3352026-10-11: 0.3352026-10-12: 0.3352026-10-13: 0.3352026-10-14: 0.3352026-10-15: 0.3352026-10-16: 0.3352026-10-17: 0.3352026-10-18: 0.3352026-10-19: 0.3352026-10-20: 0.335 2026-10-09 2026-10-20 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 53%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile López, Reynaldo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal López, Reynaldo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 53.5%Slider: 30.7%Curveball: 11.3%Changeup: 4.5% FF53% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 53%SL 31%CU 11%CH 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal López, Reynaldo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 53% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 93.8 mphFF94 mphSlider: 31% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 83.8 mphSL84 mphCurveball: 11% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 58″ drop, 74.2 mphCU74 mphChangeup: 5% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 83.7 mphCH84 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 53.0% 443 103 qualified
SL 32.9% 275 92 qualified
CB 10.4% 87 98 limited sample
CH 3.7% 31 90 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 1"
Weight225 lb
Debut2016-07-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.384
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.335

López’s wOBA-against sits at 0.384, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.335 — a gap of 0.049, 1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 87 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching172026-09-14Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.5% K | 3.00 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs MIA3 ER / 6 K5.0 IP
2026-04-07 @ LAA0 ER / 7 K4.2 IP
2026-04-02 @ AZ1 ER / 3 K5.0 IP