Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.02 |
| ERA current pace | 3.62 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.29 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 54.1% | 307 | 104 | qualified |
| SL | 32.5% | 184 | 93 | limited sample |
| CB | 9.2% | 52 | 94 | limited sample |
| CH | 4.2% | 24 | 91 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | +0.62 |
| K% Δ | -0.064 |
| Sample | 42.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 66.8 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 275 | -- | -- |
| K% | 26.5% | 21.6% to 35.2% | +/- 6.8% |
| BB% | 8.1% | 5.7% to 10.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| Whiff% | 24.8% | 20.4% to 32.2% | +/- 5.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.37 | 0.47 to 1.71 | +/- 0.62 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.320 | 0.260 to 0.341 | +/- 0.040 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.1% | 5.0% to 11.0% | +/- 3.0% |
| ERA | 3.00 | 1.09 to 4.30 | +/- 1.60 |
| FIP | 3.44 | 2.30 to 5.17 | +/- 1.44 |
| WHIP | 1.230 | 0.953 to 1.440 | +/- 0.243 |
| xwOBA | 0.298 |
| K% | 25.4% |
| BB% | 9.0% |
| Barrel | 7.9% |
| xwOBA | 0.275 |
| K% | 26.6% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 7.2% |
