Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Amed Rosario

3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 227 lb · Age 30

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position 3B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20243462993313.280.306.380.686
2025191205061.276.309.436.745
2026166203691.237.283.454.737
10 Seasons4070489104478111.272.307.402.709
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
72
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
65
Defense4 metrics
35
Speed2 metrics
61
Plate skills10 metrics
38
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.304
xwOBA current pace0.315
xwOBA rolling p500.309
Observed weight45%
xwOBA
0.276 0.291 0.309 0.326 0.341
wOBA
0.315 0.336 0.360 0.384 0.406
ISO
0.135 0.156 0.179 0.202 0.222
K%
17.4% 19.3% 21.3% 23.4% 25.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
79 +54 vs proj
Exit velocity91.3
88
Hard-hit%43.0%
67 +23 vs proj
xBA0.334
63
xSLG0.587
73
xwOBA0.315
59 +25 vs proj
BB%6.6%
26 +17 vs proj
Bat speed72.3
81
K%23.1%
45 -25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 3B
32
Arm Strength90.0 · 3B
77
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 3B
28
Range Runs-6.3 · 3B
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts3.0 · 3B
42
Sprint Speed28.4 · 3B
79
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.5% · rebadged research
14
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
19
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.320 · borderline
6
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
35
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296 · validated thin sample
16
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.308 · validated
93
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
20
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Rosario, Amed · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.315 2026-07-07: 0.3252026-07-08: 0.3252026-07-09: 0.3212026-07-10: 0.3182026-07-11: 0.3182026-07-12: 0.3142026-07-13: 0.3172026-07-14: 0.3152026-07-15: 0.3152026-07-16: 0.3152026-07-17: 0.3152026-07-18: 0.315 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

102 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Rosario, Amed · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsOppo 16% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-18 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 107.6 / LA 12.02026-03-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 110.2 / LA 6.02026-03-19 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA -13.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 33.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -1.02026-03-21 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -8.02026-03-21 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 12.02026-03-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 3.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 39.02026-03-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 91.5 / LA 13.02026-03-23 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 37.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -21.02026-03-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -18.02026-03-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 6.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -28.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 33.02026-03-30 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 89.1 / LA 24.02026-04-01 · single · ST · popup · EV 60.4 / LA 26.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -21.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 40.02026-04-07 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 33.02026-04-07 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -2.02026-04-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 79.3 / LA 10.02026-04-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 2.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.5 / LA -5.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 52.02026-04-10 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 2.02026-04-10 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 4.02026-04-10 · triple · CH · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 14.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 38.02026-04-11 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 59.1 / LA -46.02026-04-12 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 22.02026-04-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 10.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 21.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.3 / LA 6.02026-04-14 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 35.02026-04-14 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 111.4 / LA 9.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 28.02026-04-16 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 25.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA -20.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA -39.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -15.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.9 / LA -1.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 19.02026-04-18 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 4.02026-04-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA -15.02026-04-18 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 112.1 / LA 22.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · popup · EV 83.6 / LA 67.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · popup · EV 84.7 / LA 68.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 51.02026-04-19 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 81.4 / LA -3.02026-04-21 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA -18.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -7.02026-04-22 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 25.02026-04-22 · sac fly · FC · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 18.02026-04-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 6.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 41.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.9 / LA 77.02026-04-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA -7.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA -26.02026-05-01 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 9.02026-05-07 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 25.02026-05-07 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.4 / LA 45.02026-05-07 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -2.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -24.02026-05-09 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 111.5 / LA 16.02026-05-09 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -39.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 42.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 44.02026-05-12 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA -25.02026-05-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 24.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA -56.02026-05-17 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 34.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 14.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · popup · EV 66.7 / LA 76.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 42.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 55.02026-05-26 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 10.02026-05-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.8 / LA 5.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.7 / LA -18.02026-05-26 · home run · EP · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 26.02026-05-26 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 32.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 3.02026-05-27 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA -6.02026-06-07 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 73.3 / LA 23.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 24.02026-06-07 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 79.4 / LA 12.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 72.8 / LA 15.02026-06-20 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -1.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA -6.02026-06-20 · field error · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA -2.02026-06-22 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 24.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA -14.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 28.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 22.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 46.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 68.6 / LA 72.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 5.02026-07-01 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 76.9 / LA -12.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -7.02026-07-01 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 110.9 / LA 18.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -39.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Rosario, Amed · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 38%38%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 1"
Weight227 lb
Debut2017-08-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.023
wOBA Δ+0.069

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.360
xwOBA (deserved)0.315

Rosario’s wOBA sits at 0.360, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.315 — a gap of 0.046, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 182 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-06-29Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.292 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K
2026-04-17 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-3
2026-04-14 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E1-4
2026-04-13 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-2
2026-04-12 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-1 | 2B