Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Griffin Canning

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 180 lb · Age 30

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20246135.1932310171.21301.40
2025733.771616076.1701.38
2026176.471310055.2551.60
7 Seasons33444.811281200640.06081.36
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
22
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
27
Arsenal6 metrics
33
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason4.12
ERA current pace6.47
ERA rolling p505.31
Observed weight51%
ERA
4.22 4.74 5.31 5.89 6.40
FIP
3.79 4.16 4.57 4.98 5.35
K%
18.8% 20.2% 21.8% 23.5% 24.9%
BB%
8.5% 9.4% 10.3% 11.2% 12.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.66
7
ERA6.47
7
BB%12.1%
16 -35 vs proj
K%22.3%
48
xwOBA allowed0.333
30
Barrel allowed8.8%
34
Fastball velo94.1
45
Hard-hit allowed47.5%
5
Whiff%22.8%
49
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+102
47
Cutter Stuff+105
75
Fastball Stuff+96
16
Mithrandir Stuff+97
19
Sinker Stuff+94
9
Slider Stuff+99
33
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Canning, Griffin · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.333 2026-07-07: 0.3372026-07-08: 0.3372026-07-09: 0.3372026-07-10: 0.3372026-07-11: 0.3332026-07-12: 0.3332026-07-13: 0.3332026-07-14: 0.3332026-07-15: 0.3332026-07-16: 0.3332026-07-17: 0.3332026-07-18: 0.333 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 26%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Canning, Griffin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Canning, Griffin · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 25.9%Slider: 24.9%Changeup: 23.0%Sinker: 10.7%Cutter: 5.8%Knuckle Curve: 5.8% FF26% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 26%SL 25%CH 23%SI 11%FC 6%KC 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Canning, Griffin · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 26% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 94.3 mphFF94 mphSlider: 25% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 87.4 mphSL87 mphChangeup: 23% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 90.0 mphCH90 mphSinker: 11% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 93.6 mphSI94 mphCutter: 6% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 89.6 mphFC90 mphKnuckle Curve: 6% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 46″ drop, 81.2 mphKC81 mphSweeper: 4% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 86.2 mphST86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 28.3% 132 99 limited sample
CH 27.7% 129 102 limited sample
FB 26.4% 123 96 limited sample
SI 11.8% 55 94 limited sample
FC 4.1% 19 105 limited sample
CB 1.7% 8 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 2"
Weight180 lb
Debut2019-04-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+2.52
K% Δ+0.015

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.356
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.333

Canning’s wOBA-against sits at 0.356, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.333 — a gap of 0.024, 0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 54 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching62026-07-09Slider played up through CH/KC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.8% K | 3.95 ERAProjection