Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 206 lb |
| Debut | 2020-09-04 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Derek Hill
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 206 lb · Age 30
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 172 | 19 | 39 | 7 | 6 | .241 | .271 | .420 | .691 |
| 2025 | 149 | 19 | 29 | 3 | 7 | .216 | .281 | .328 | .609 |
| 2026 | 145 | 21 | 34 | 7 | 10 | .258 | .310 | .439 | .749 |
| 7 Seasons | 770 | 92 | 166 | 21 | 33 | .234 | .283 | .364 | .647 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
53
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.284 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.298 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.290 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.244
0.266
0.290
0.314
0.336
wOBA
0.325
0.348
0.373
0.399
0.422
ISO
0.097
0.119
0.144
0.169
0.191
K%
27.4%
29.3%
31.4%
33.5%
35.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
58
+15 vs proj
Exit velocity83.6
9
Hard-hit%33.3%
25
-21 vs proj
xBA0.393
95
xSLG0.647
87
xwOBA0.298
41
BB%7.5%
36
+22 vs proj
Bat speed67.1
21
K%35.4%
3
-20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · RF
54
Arm Strength92.4 · RF
47
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Range Runs2.3 · RF
77
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · CF
49
Bolts11.0 · CF
70
SB Success Rate70.0% · CF
27
Sprint Speed29.7 · CF
98
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.5% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · borderline
23
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.297 · validated thin sample
15
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
84
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
16
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
59 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.087 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hill’s wOBA sits at 0.373, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.298 — a gap of 0.075, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 161 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.287 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | R |
| 2026-04-14 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | SB |
| 2026-04-12 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | K, CS |
| 2026-04-09 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |