Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 206 lb |
| Debut | 2020-09-04 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Derek Hill
CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 206 lb · Age 30
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 172 | 19 | 39 | 7 | 6 | .241 | .271 | .420 | .691 |
| 2025 | 149 | 19 | 29 | 3 | 7 | .216 | .281 | .328 | .609 |
| 2026 | 190 | 27 | 42 | 9 | 13 | .241 | .294 | .420 | .714 |
| 7 Seasons | 815 | 98 | 174 | 23 | 36 | .232 | .281 | .364 | .645 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
47
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
57
Exit velocity83.2
8
Hard-hit%32.5%
25
xBA0.355
85
xSLG0.586
76
xwOBA0.284
29
BB%7.3%
35
Bat speed67.2
22
K%33.5%
6
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · CF
55
Arm Strength96.3 · CF
72
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
48
Range Runs3.0 · CF
79
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · CF
71
Bolts13.0 · CF
70
SB Success Rate81.2% · CF
52
Sprint Speed29.6 · CF
96
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.2% · rebadged research
24
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.8% · rebadged research
73
Correct Decisions65.5% · rebadged research
44
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
53
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
67
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296 · validated thin sample
16
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.340 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
37
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
73 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hill’s wOBA sits at 0.352, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.284 — a gap of 0.067, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 206 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 5 | 2026-08-30 | 7 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.551 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.287 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | R |
| 2026-04-14 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | SB |
| 2026-04-12 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | K, CS |