Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

Jeff Hoffman

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 235 lb · Age 33

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024332.176801066.1890.96
2025974.377103368.0841.19
2026683.97610556.2861.43
11 Seasons38414.693885050591.26491.40
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
59
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
61
Arsenal4 metrics
82
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-01
ERA preseason3.68
ERA current pace4.04
ERA rolling p503.87
Observed weight52%
ERA
2.18 2.98 3.87 4.76 5.55
FIP
1.88 2.39 2.97 3.54 4.05
K%
27.1% 29.3% 31.7% 34.1% 36.3%
BB%
6.7% 7.7% 8.9% 10.0% 11.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.42
32
ERA4.04
50
BB%9.5%
43
K%32.8%
97
xwOBA allowed0.295
70
Barrel allowed9.2%
25
Fastball velo96.4
79
Hard-hit allowed37.3%
57
Whiff%32.7%
98 +16 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Fastball Stuff+107
84
Mithrandir Stuff+105
82
Slider Stuff+104
66
Sinker Stuff+109
95
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Hoffman, Jeff · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.295 2026-08-21: 0.3002026-08-22: 0.3002026-08-23: 0.3002026-08-24: 0.3002026-08-25: 0.2992026-08-26: 0.2992026-08-27: 0.2982026-08-28: 0.2982026-08-29: 0.2982026-08-30: 0.2982026-08-31: 0.2952026-09-01: 0.295 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 43%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Hoffman, Jeff · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 33%33%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hoffman, Jeff · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 43.4%4-Seam Fastball: 31.2%Split-Finger: 20.8%Sinker: 4.6% SL43% · 87 mphprimary pitch SL 43%FF 31%FS 21%SI 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hoffman, Jeff · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Slider: 43% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 86.6 mphSL87 mph4-Seam Fastball: 31% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 96.4 mphFF96 mphSplit-Finger: 21% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 89.4 mphFS89 mphSinker: 5% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 96.1 mphSI96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 51.6% 271 104 qualified
FB 42.3% 222 107 qualified
SI 6.1% 32 109 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 5"
Weight235 lb
Debut2016-08-20
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.84
K% Δ+0.052

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.4σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.339
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.295

Hoffman’s wOBA-against sits at 0.339, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.295 — a gap of 0.044, 1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 57 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202627.6% K | 3.19 ERAProjection
2026-08-15 vs PHI1 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 ER / 3 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 @ MIL2 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-12 vs MIN0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP