Hoffman, Jeff
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.62 |
| ERA current pace | 4.81 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 4.03 |
| Observed weight | 35% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 47.2% | 159 | 108 | limited sample |
| SL | 44.8% | 151 | 109 | limited sample |
| SI | 8.0% | 27 | 107 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | +1.67 |
| K% Δ | +0.079 |
| Sample | 26.3 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 42.4 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 175 | -- | -- |
| K% | 27.6% | 23.2% to 40.6% | +/- 8.7% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 4.5% to 12.5% | +/- 4.0% |
| Whiff% | 27.4% | 24.9% to 36.2% | +/- 5.6% |
| HR/9 | 1.32 | 0.50 to 2.16 | +/- 0.83 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.288 | 0.231 to 0.359 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.5% | 3.7% to 13.8% | +/- 5.0% |
| ERA | 3.14 | 1.62 to 6.17 | +/- 2.28 |
| FIP | 3.57 | 1.97 to 4.89 | +/- 1.46 |
| WHIP | 1.118 | 0.843 to 1.515 | +/- 0.336 |
1196 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 30.4% |
| BB% | 8.7% |
| Barrel | 10.5% |
1344 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.264 |
| K% | 29.6% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 8.6% |