Mithrandir Metrics
Player Tacoma Rainiers Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Tacoma Rainiers

Connor Joe

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 205 lb · Age 33

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Tacoma Rainiers Position RF Roster profile Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024416498392.228.320.368.688
20258021302.186.263.243.506
2026452712.179.289.308.597
7 Seasons17071963533615.238.332.382.714
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
75
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
67
Defense1 metrics
46
Speed1 metrics
40
Plate skills10 metrics
59
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.293
xwOBA current pace0.337
xwOBA rolling p500.303
Observed weight22%
xwOBA
0.256 0.278 0.303 0.328 0.350
wOBA
0.371 0.410 0.452 0.495 0.533
ISO
0.083 0.109 0.139 0.169 0.195
K%
18.3% 20.9% 23.9% 26.9% 29.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
47
Exit velocity90.4
79
Hard-hit%42.9%
66 +22 vs proj
xBA0.417
98
xSLG0.645
85
xwOBA0.337
76 +44 vs proj
BB%11.3%
80 +19 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
59
K%30.6%
14 -31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.1 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.0 · RF
40
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.8% · rebadged research
87
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions68.3% · rebadged research
71
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
33
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
74
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
80
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
68
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
79
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Joe, Connor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.337 2026-07-07: 0.3372026-07-08: 0.3372026-07-09: 0.3372026-07-10: 0.3372026-07-11: 0.3372026-07-12: 0.3372026-07-13: 0.3372026-07-14: 0.3372026-07-15: 0.3372026-07-16: 0.3372026-07-17: 0.3372026-07-18: 0.337 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

34 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Joe, Connor · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsPull 15%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsOppo 18% LF 331 CF 401 RF 326 2026-03-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 49.1 / LA 42.02026-03-17 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 94.6 / LA 14.02026-03-17 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA -64.02026-03-17 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -19.02026-03-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 89.2 / LA 18.02026-03-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 90.2 / LA 9.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 14.02026-03-20 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA -7.02026-03-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 34.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 43.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 57.7 / LA -79.02026-04-08 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 0.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA -26.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 18.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 24.02026-04-19 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -9.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 23.02026-04-25 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 11.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 55.02026-04-26 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 65.7 / LA 26.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.5 / LA 62.02026-05-01 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 30.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 41.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 48.02026-05-06 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 15.02026-05-06 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -10.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 48.02026-05-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 12.02026-05-10 · double · SV · fly_ball · EV 68.9 / LA 33.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 2.02026-05-13 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.0 / LA -30.02026-05-18 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 2.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 12.02026-06-20 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -35.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Joe, Connor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height5' 11"
Weight205 lb
Debut2019-03-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.047
wOBA Δ+0.162
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-03-20Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.290 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection