Mithrandir Metrics
Player Kansas City Royals Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Kansas City Royals

Alex Lange

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 202 lb · Age 30

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Kansas City Royals Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024034.34210218.2211.77
2025000.001001.013.00
2026275.815101052.2541.50
6 Seasons17224.17247039237.12761.41
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
25
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
33
Arsenal6 metrics
34
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.56
13
ERA5.86
14
BB%11.6%
21
K%22.4%
51
xwOBA allowed0.338
25
Barrel allowed11.3%
6
Fastball velo95.7
72
Hard-hit allowed42.1%
24
Whiff%25.9%
74
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Mithrandir Stuff+100
27
Changeup Stuff+104
69
Cutter Stuff+102
48
Fastball Stuff+93
8
Sinker Stuff+100
33
Slider Stuff+98
21
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Lange, Alex · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.338 2026-08-21: 0.3442026-08-22: 0.3442026-08-23: 0.3442026-08-24: 0.3442026-08-25: 0.3342026-08-26: 0.3342026-08-27: 0.3342026-08-28: 0.3392026-08-29: 0.3392026-08-30: 0.3382026-08-31: 0.3382026-09-01: 0.338 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 32%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Lange, Alex · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lange, Alex · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 32.0%Sinker: 23.5%Changeup: 21.6%Cutter: 11.7%4-Seam Fastball: 11.1%Knuckle Curve: 0.1% SL32% · 88 mphprimary pitch SL 32%SI 24%CH 22%FC 12%FF 11%KC 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Lange, Alex · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Slider: 32% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 87.9 mphSL88 mphSinker: 24% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 95.7 mphSI96 mphChangeup: 22% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 90.7 mphCH91 mphCutter: 12% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 92.0 mphFC92 mph4-Seam Fastball: 11% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.9 mphFF96 mphKnuckle Curve: 0% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 84.5 mphKC84 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 32.3% 183 98 limited sample
SI 23.5% 133 100 limited sample
CH 20.8% 118 104 limited sample
FB 12.7% 72 93 limited sample
FC 10.8% 61 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 3"
Weight202 lb
Debut2021-04-10
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.368
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.338

Lange’s wOBA-against sits at 0.368, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.338 — a gap of 0.029, 1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 54 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.3% K | 3.83 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs BOS0 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-20 vs BAL4 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-17 @ NYY2 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 vs CWS0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-08 @ CLE1 ER / 2 K2.1 IP