Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

Jacob Latz

P · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 2", 185 lb · Age 30

Cards
6
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024233.71460043.2401.51
2025202.84338185.2761.24
2026211.573611946.0470.65
5 Seasons652.701191020186.11721.13
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
87
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
72
Arsenal5 metrics
57
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.88
97
ERA1.61
98
BB%8.1%
60
K%28.0%
84
xwOBA allowed0.249
96
Barrel allowed8.4%
40
Fastball velo94.5
50
Hard-hit allowed40.3%
41
Whiff%27.2%
80
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-19
Fastball Stuff+106
76
Mithrandir Stuff+105
72
Changeup Stuff+100
31
Curveball Stuff+99
13
Slider Stuff+109
91
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Latz, Jacob · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.249 2026-07-08: 0.2462026-07-09: 0.2462026-07-10: 0.2462026-07-11: 0.2462026-07-12: 0.2462026-07-13: 0.2462026-07-14: 0.2492026-07-15: 0.2492026-07-16: 0.2492026-07-17: 0.2492026-07-18: 0.2492026-07-19: 0.249 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 53%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Latz, Jacob · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Latz, Jacob · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 52.9%Slider: 20.2%Changeup: 18.1%Curveball: 8.8% FF53% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 53%SL 20%CH 18%CU 9% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Latz, Jacob · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 53% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 94.5 mphFF95 mphSlider: 20% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 85.3 mphSL85 mphChangeup: 18% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 85.5 mphCH85 mphCurveball: 9% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 55″ drop, 80.2 mphCU80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 52.9% 277 106 qualified
SL 22.7% 119 109 limited sample
CH 16.0% 84 100 limited sample
CB 8.4% 44 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 2"
Weight185 lb
Debut2021-08-25
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.277
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.249

Latz’s wOBA-against sits at 0.277, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.249 — a gap of 0.028, 0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 48 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching62026-03-284-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.6% K | 3.98 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ COL0 ER / 4 K2.0 IP
2026-04-17 @ SEA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 @ ATH0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 @ LAD1 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-04-07 vs SEA0 ER / 2 K2.0 IP