Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Paul Saints Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Paul Saints

Joe Ryan

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 205 lb · Age 30

Cards
23
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Paul Saints Position P Roster Current MLB team Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024773.6023230135.01470.99
202513103.4231300171.01941.04
2026683.6523230125.21381.14
6 Seasons52443.771381370767.08571.08
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
77
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
54
Arsenal5 metrics
86
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.15
80
ERA3.65
60
BB%5.2%
95
K%26.0%
77
xwOBA allowed0.290
75
Barrel allowed10.8%
9
Fastball velo93.3
30
Hard-hit allowed43.5%
18
Whiff%22.3%
46
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-02
Fastball Stuff+107
82
Mithrandir Stuff+107
93
Slider Stuff+107
87
Curveball Stuff+105
87
Sinker Stuff+106
82
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Ryan, Joe · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.290 2026-08-22: 0.2902026-08-23: 0.2902026-08-24: 0.2902026-08-25: 0.2902026-08-26: 0.2902026-08-27: 0.2902026-08-28: 0.2902026-08-29: 0.2902026-08-30: 0.2902026-08-31: 0.2902026-09-01: 0.2902026-09-02: 0.290 2026-08-22 2026-09-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Ryan, Joe · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ryan, Joe · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 45.1%Sweeper: 14.2%Split-Finger: 12.5%Knuckle Curve: 11.6%Sinker: 10.1%Slider: 6.5% FF45% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 45%ST 14%FS 12%KC 12%SI 10%SL 7% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ryan, Joe · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 45% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 93.4 mphFF93 mphSweeper: 14% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 80.4 mphST80 mphSplit-Finger: 12% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 87.8 mphFS88 mphKnuckle Curve: 12% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 78.9 mphKC79 mphSinker: 10% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 93.0 mphSI93 mphSlider: 7% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 86.0 mphSL86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 50.0% 675 107 qualified
SL 23.0% 310 107 qualified
CB 14.7% 198 105 limited sample
SI 12.3% 166 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 2"
Weight205 lb
Debut2021-09-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.329
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.290

Ryan’s wOBA-against sits at 0.329, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.290 — a gap of 0.039, 1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 133 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching232026-08-044-Seam Fastball played up through FS/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.3% K | 3.81 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs HOU1 ER / 9 K6.0 IP
2026-04-17 vs CIN1 ER / 6 K6.0 IP
2026-04-11 @ TOR2 ER / 5 K7.0 IP
2026-04-06 vs DET2 ER / 7 K5.0 IP
2026-04-01 @ KC5 ER / 3 K4.0 IP