Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 205 lb |
| Debut | 2021-06-22 |
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks
Lars Nootbaar
DH · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 205 lb · Age 28
Club Arizona Diamondbacks
Position DH
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 405 | 39 | 85 | 12 | 7 | .244 | .342 | .417 | .759 |
| 2025 | 583 | 68 | 119 | 13 | 4 | .234 | .325 | .361 | .686 |
| 2026 | 257 | 29 | 51 | 6 | 2 | .231 | .335 | .376 | .711 |
| 6 Seasons | 2219 | 278 | 458 | 64 | 30 | .241 | .340 | .403 | .743 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
79
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.344 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.341 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.315
0.327
0.341
0.354
0.366
wOBA
0.286
0.304
0.324
0.343
0.361
ISO
0.126
0.141
0.158
0.174
0.190
K%
16.9%
18.2%
19.7%
21.2%
22.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.0%
79
Exit velocity91.5
91
Hard-hit%49.7%
93
xBA0.318
50
xSLG0.576
74
xwOBA0.344
88
BB%13.6%
94
Bat speed70.7
68
K%19.5%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · LF
59
Arm Strength95.4 · LF
65
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs0.9 · LF
58
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · LF
51
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.3% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.3% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
37
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
40
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
67 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.023 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Nootbaar’s wOBA sits at 0.324, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.344 — a gap of 0.021, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 257 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-08-28 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 9 | 2026-08-22 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.373 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.346 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | BB, 2 K, SB |