Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Casey Mize

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
14
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason3.67
ERA current pace2.27
ERA rolling p502.99
Observed weight48%
ERA
2.10 2.52 2.99 3.46 3.88
FIP
2.81 3.06 3.34 3.62 3.87
K%
20.1% 21.5% 23.1% 24.7% 26.1%
BB%
5.1% 5.8% 6.6% 7.4% 8.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%6.7%
79
Barrel allowed6.8%
64 +27 vs proj
Fastball velo93.3
32
Hard-hit allowed31.1%
91
K%25.8%
74 +35 vs proj
Whiff%26.6%
74 +35 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.258
90 +38 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+103
59
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Mize, Casey · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2762026-05-19: 0.2762026-05-21: 0.2762026-05-23: 0.2632026-05-24: 0.2632026-05-25: 0.2632026-05-26: 0.2632026-05-28: 0.2582026-05-29: 0.2582026-05-30: 0.2582026-05-31: 0.2582026-06-01: 0.258 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 34%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Mize, Casey · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Mize, Casey · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 33.9%Split-Finger: 26.2%Slider: 23.5%Sinker: 10.6%Slurve: 5.8% MIX FF 34%FS 26%SL 23%SI 11%SV 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Mize, Casey · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.4, IVB 1.2FFFS: HB -0.5, IVB 2.6FSSL: HB 0.1, IVB 2.5SLSI: HB 1.2, IVB 1.4SISV: HB -0.5, IVB 3.9SV horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 45.4% 231 100 qualified
SL 40.7% 207 104 qualified
SI 13.9% 71 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight212 lb
Debut2020-08-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.80
K% Δ+0.049

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching142026-05-274-Seam Fastball played up through SL/SI tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.9% K | 4.07 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ BOS0 ER / 7 K6.2 IP
2026-04-11 vs MIA1 ER / 5 K5.2 IP
2026-04-06 @ MIN5 ER / 4 K4.1 IP
2026-03-31 @ AZ1 ER / 9 K6.0 IP