Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 219 lb |
| Debut | 2017-07-25 |
Player profile / San Francisco Giants
Harrison Bader
CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 219 lb · Age 32
Club San Francisco Giants
Position CF
Roster Injured 10-Day
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 437 | 57 | 95 | 12 | 17 | .236 | .284 | .373 | .657 |
| 2025 | 501 | 61 | 124 | 17 | 11 | .277 | .347 | .449 | .796 |
| 2026 | 111 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 0 | .170 | .198 | .358 | .556 |
| 10 Seasons | 3157 | 401 | 697 | 93 | 105 | .244 | .309 | .400 | .709 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
50
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.285 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.272 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.253
0.266
0.280
0.295
0.308
wOBA
0.199
0.224
0.251
0.278
0.303
ISO
0.115
0.135
0.157
0.179
0.199
K%
23.0%
24.6%
26.4%
28.2%
29.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
53
Exit velocity89.2
64
Hard-hit%41.1%
59
+16 vs proj
xBA0.316
44
xSLG0.540
60
xwOBA0.272
17
BB%4.4%
10
Bat speed70.7
67
K%31.6%
10
-30 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · CF
42
Arm Strength93.1 · CF
52
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs0.2 · CF
47
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · CF
53
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.6% · rebadged research
12
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.9% · rebadged research
17
Correct Decisions59.7% · rebadged research
8
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
70
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
40
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.312 · validated
92
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline88
10
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
71 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.034 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Bader’s wOBA sits at 0.251, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.272 — a gap of 0.021, 0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 114 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-04-02 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.285 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-11 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-08 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-07 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-06 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, R |