Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Myles Straw

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 178 lb · Age 31

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202442102.250.250.250.500
20252995170412.262.313.367.680
2026168263433.227.283.327.610
9 Seasons244732853513104.245.314.317.631
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
19
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
29
Defense4 metrics
53
Speed3 metrics
76
Plate skills10 metrics
64
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.280
xwOBA current pace0.294
xwOBA rolling p500.286
Observed weight44%
xwOBA
0.249 0.266 0.286 0.306 0.323
wOBA
0.252 0.273 0.296 0.320 0.341
ISO
0.061 0.081 0.104 0.126 0.146
K%
12.9% 14.6% 16.5% 18.4% 20.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
15
Exit velocity84.6
13
Hard-hit%26.3%
9
xBA0.301
27
xSLG0.412
16
xwOBA0.294
35 +22 vs proj
BB%7.5%
37
Bat speed66.3
14
K%13.2%
93 +24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · CF
30
Arm Strength93.6 · CF
56
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs2.4 · CF
79
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · CF
49
Bolts22.0 · CF
81
Sprint Speed29.6 · CF
97
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 79.4% · rebadged research
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions71.5% · rebadged research
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · borderline
89
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
20
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Straw, Myles · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.294 2026-07-06: 0.2982026-07-07: 0.2972026-07-08: 0.2932026-07-09: 0.2932026-07-10: 0.2922026-07-11: 0.2922026-07-12: 0.2962026-07-13: 0.2962026-07-14: 0.2942026-07-15: 0.2942026-07-16: 0.2942026-07-17: 0.294 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 90%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Straw, Myles · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 20%20%Whiff: 11%11%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 89%89%Hard hit: 26%26% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Straw, Myles · 2026 arsenal snapshot Eephus: 90.0%Other: 10.0% EP90% · 43 mphprimary pitch EP 90%FA 10% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Straw, Myles · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Eephus: 90% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 11″ drop, 42.9 mphEP43 mphOther: 10% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 8″ drop, 54.9 mphFA55 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height5' 9"
Weight178 lb
Debut2018-09-15
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.029
wOBA Δ+0.032

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.296
xwOBA (deserved)0.294

Straw’s wOBA sits at 0.296, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.294 — a gap of 0.003, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 174 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-05-02Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.264 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, 2 R
2026-04-17 @ AZ1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-3 | HR, RBI, 2 R
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-14 @ MIL0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-1 | 2B, 2 RBI, R