Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
Straw, Myles
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team TOR
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
19
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.280 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.294 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.286 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.249
0.266
0.286
0.306
0.323
wOBA
0.252
0.273
0.296
0.320
0.341
ISO
0.061
0.081
0.104
0.126
0.146
K%
12.9%
14.6%
16.5%
18.4%
20.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
15
Exit velocity84.6
13
Hard-hit%26.3%
9
xBA0.301
27
xSLG0.412
16
xwOBA0.294
35
+22 vs proj
BB%7.5%
36
Bat speed66.3
14
K%13.2%
93
+24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · CF
30
Arm Strength93.6 · CF
56
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs2.4 · CF
79
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · CF
48
Bolts22.0 · CF
81
Sprint Speed29.6 · CF
97
SB Success Rate66.7% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 79.4% · rebadged research
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions71.5% · rebadged research
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · borderline
89
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
20
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
94 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.032 |
| Sample | 174 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 366 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.264 | 0.226 to 0.340 | +/- 0.057 |
| ISO | 0.072 | 0.045 to 0.189 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 1.7% | 0.6% to 4.3% | +/- 1.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 24.8% | 15.6% to 36.3% | +/- 10.3% |
| K% | 19.5% | 15.8% to 27.8% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 5.1% to 10.2% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.232 to 0.334 | +/- 0.051 |
vs LHP
757 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.216 |
| K% | 13.5% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
1686 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.205 |
| K% | 13.4% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |