Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

Luis Medina

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 175 lb · Age 27

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20233105.4223170109.21061.51
2024245.1888040.0321.58
2026533.52481061.1761.45
3 Seasons10174.8279260211.02141.51
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
45
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
53
Arsenal6 metrics
36
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-01
ERA preseason4.20
ERA current pace3.70
ERA rolling p503.93
Observed weight54%
ERA
2.74 3.30 3.93 4.55 5.11
FIP
3.48 3.79 4.13 4.47 4.77
K%
22.1% 23.6% 25.2% 26.8% 28.2%
BB%
8.8% 9.7% 10.8% 11.8% 12.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.48
22
ERA3.70
59
BB%13.0%
12 -39 vs proj
K%27.7%
85 +39 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.313
50
Barrel allowed8.6%
32
Fastball velo97.5
91
Hard-hit allowed39.5%
42
Whiff%28.7%
89 +41 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Fastball Stuff+103
55
Mithrandir Stuff+101
42
Changeup Stuff+98
20
Curveball Stuff+101
25
Sinker Stuff+102
49
Slider Stuff+98
24
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Medina, Luis · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.313 2026-08-21: 0.3202026-08-22: 0.3202026-08-23: 0.3202026-08-24: 0.3202026-08-25: 0.3212026-08-26: 0.3212026-08-27: 0.3202026-08-28: 0.3202026-08-29: 0.3202026-08-30: 0.3132026-08-31: 0.3132026-09-01: 0.313 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Medina, Luis · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 29%29%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 44%44%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Medina, Luis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 30.3%Sinker: 26.8%Slider: 16.9%Changeup: 13.8%Curveball: 12.2% FF30% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 30%SI 27%SL 17%CH 14%CU 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Medina, Luis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 30% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 97.6 mphFF98 mphSinker: 27% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 97.3 mphSI97 mphSlider: 17% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 86.6 mphSL87 mphChangeup: 14% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 90.1 mphCH90 mphCurveball: 12% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 81.0 mphCU81 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 32.1% 200 103 qualified
SI 28.0% 175 102 limited sample
SL 17.1% 107 98 limited sample
CH 13.8% 86 98 limited sample
CB 9.0% 56 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 1"
Weight175 lb
Debut2023-04-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.55
K% Δ+0.060

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.6σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.360
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.313

Medina’s wOBA-against sits at 0.360, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.313 — a gap of 0.047, 1.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 64 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12026-05-24Contact quality stayed muted throughout the start
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.8% K | 4.25 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ LAA0 ER / 2 K2.0 IP
2026-04-13 vs TEX0 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-11 @ NYM0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs HOU1 ER / 4 K2.0 IP
2026-04-01 @ ATL0 ER / 1 K2.0 IP