Mithrandir Metrics
Player Las Vegas Aviators Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Las Vegas Aviators

Elvis Alvarado

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
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Club Las Vegas Aviators Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason3.31
ERA current pace8.38
ERA rolling p504.17
Observed weight17%
ERA
2.21 3.14 4.17 5.19 6.12
FIP
2.89 3.49 4.16 4.83 5.44
K%
19.2% 22.2% 25.5% 28.8% 31.8%
BB%
7.7% 9.3% 11.2% 13.0% 14.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+101
41
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 56%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Alvarado, Elvis · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 41%41%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 28%28%Called strike: 10%10%First pitch strike: 41%41%Hard hit allowed: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Alvarado, Elvis · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 55.5%Sinker: 26.0%Slider: 15.5%Split-Finger: 3.0% MIX FF 56%SI 26%SL 16%FS 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Alvarado, Elvis · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.1FFSI: HB 0.3, IVB 1.6SISL: HB 0.0, IVB 2.9SLFS: HB -0.1, IVB 3.0FS horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 61.8% 110 101 limited sample
SI 21.3% 38 100 limited sample
SL 16.9% 30 95 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 6"
Weight253 lb
Debut2025-05-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.9% K | 3.93 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 vs CWS4 ER / 3 K2.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs TEX0 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-12 @ NYM0 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-08 @ NYY0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-05 vs HOU0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP