Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2024-07-20 |
Player profile / Boston Red Sox
Carlos Narváez
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 190 lb · Age 27
Club Boston Red Sox
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .333 | .231 | .564 |
| 2025 | 446 | 51 | 97 | 15 | 1 | .241 | .306 | .419 | .725 |
| 2026 | 178 | 17 | 32 | 3 | 1 | .203 | .269 | .297 | .566 |
| 3 Seasons | 639 | 68 | 132 | 18 | 2 | .230 | .297 | .382 | .679 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
43
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.312 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.271 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.261
0.276
0.293
0.310
0.325
wOBA
0.236
0.255
0.277
0.299
0.319
ISO
0.089
0.106
0.126
0.145
0.162
K%
25.6%
27.0%
28.6%
30.2%
31.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
37
-21 vs proj
Exit velocity88.5
55
Hard-hit%38.3%
47
-28 vs proj
xBA0.321
50
xSLG0.510
50
xwOBA0.271
17
-27 vs proj
BB%6.8%
29
-19 vs proj
Bat speed69.0
40
K%30.9%
13
-21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.7 · C
95
Catcher Throwing0.2 · C
64
Framing Runs4.1 · C
93
Pop Time2.0 · C
21
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.3 · C
8
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.0% · rebadged research
37
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.1% · rebadged research
23
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
60
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
78
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
49
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
89
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
26
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
89 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.024 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Narváez’s wOBA sits at 0.277, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.271 — a gap of 0.006, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 191 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.301 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2B, BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 4 K |
| 2026-04-13 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-11 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 1 E | 2-4 | R |