Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2022-07-15 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Freddy Fermin
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 200 lb · Age 31
Club San Diego Padres
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 368 | 40 | 92 | 6 | 2 | .271 | .319 | .366 | .685 |
| 2025 | 347 | 32 | 80 | 5 | 1 | .251 | .297 | .339 | .636 |
| 2026 | 162 | 15 | 21 | 3 | 0 | .152 | .252 | .268 | .520 |
| 5 Seasons | 1119 | 114 | 254 | 23 | 3 | .249 | .301 | .362 | .663 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
8
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.291 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.263 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.278 |
| Observed weight | 45% |
xwOBA
0.253
0.265
0.278
0.292
0.304
wOBA
0.242
0.262
0.285
0.308
0.329
ISO
0.098
0.114
0.132
0.150
0.167
K%
15.5%
17.1%
18.9%
20.7%
22.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.7%
9
-21 vs proj
Exit velocity83.5
8
Hard-hit%25.2%
8
-21 vs proj
xBA0.248
4
xSLG0.364
5
xwOBA0.263
12
-23 vs proj
BB%10.2%
68
+49 vs proj
Bat speed66.2
13
K%19.2%
69
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.9 · C
88
Catcher Throwing1.7 · C
86
Framing Runs1.5 · C
68
Pop Time1.9 · C
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.1 · C
42
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.5% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions67.8% · rebadged research
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.279 · borderline
72
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
41
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.314 · validated
99
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
97 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.008 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Fermin’s wOBA sits at 0.285, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.263 — a gap of 0.023, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 177 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.293 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-12 vs COL0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-11 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, HBP, 2 R |
| 2026-04-09 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | R |