Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Graham Ashcraft

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Injured 60-Day Status IL-60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.21
ERA current pace3.33
ERA rolling p503.92
Observed weight33%
ERA
2.18 3.00 3.92 4.84 5.66
FIP
2.39 2.97 3.61 4.26 4.84
K%
19.4% 21.7% 24.3% 26.9% 29.2%
BB%
8.2% 9.4% 10.9% 12.3% 13.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%14.3%
6 -47 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.5%
39 -18 vs proj
Hard-hit allowed44.1%
22
K%30.3%
91 +48 vs proj
Whiff%30.9%
91 +28 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.287
74 +28 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+103
59
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Ashcraft, Graham · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3112026-05-19: 0.3112026-05-21: 0.3142026-05-23: 0.3092026-05-24: 0.2952026-05-25: 0.2942026-05-26: 0.2872026-05-28: 0.2872026-05-29: 0.2872026-05-30: 0.2872026-05-31: 0.2872026-06-01: 0.287 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 51%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Ashcraft, Graham · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 31%31%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ashcraft, Graham · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 51.1%Slider: 48.9% MIX FC 51%SL 49% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ashcraft, Graham · 2026 arsenal snapshot FC: HB 0.0, IVB 1.4FCSL: HB -0.1, IVB 2.8SL horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 51.3% 231 98 qualified
SL 48.7% 219 108 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 2"
Weight248 lb
Debut2022-05-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.97
K% Δ+0.088
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.5% K | 4.30 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ PHI0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-17 @ MIN0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 vs SF0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs SF0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP