Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

Ryan Kreidler

SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 208 lb · Age 28

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position SS Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024659715.119.200.169.369
2025445402.105.190.105.295
2026147213450.254.320.425.745
5 Seasons358456077.186.254.280.534
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
37
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
45
Defense4 metrics
67
Speed1 metrics
65
Plate skills10 metrics
61
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
xwOBA preseason0.252
xwOBA current pace0.296
xwOBA rolling p500.270
Observed weight42%
xwOBA
0.219 0.243 0.270 0.297 0.322
wOBA
0.317 0.340 0.366 0.392 0.415
ISO
0.105 0.130 0.157 0.184 0.209
K%
15.1% 18.2% 21.7% 25.1% 28.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
50
Exit velocity87.2
39
Hard-hit%36.5%
37
xBA0.281
15
xSLG0.483
40
xwOBA0.296
39 +31 vs proj
BB%7.6%
37
Bat speed72.1
80
K%18.4%
73 +53 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · SS
87
Arm Strength96.9 · SS
98
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS
28
Range Runs0.5 · SS
53
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · SS
65
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-19
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.8% · rebadged research
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.4% · rebadged research
95
Correct Decisions75.7% · rebadged research
97
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
70
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
55
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.359 · validated
17
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.385 · validated
8
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
94
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Kreidler, Ryan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.296 2026-07-08: 0.3082026-07-09: 0.3042026-07-10: 0.3012026-07-11: 0.3012026-07-12: 0.2992026-07-13: 0.2972026-07-14: 0.2972026-07-15: 0.2972026-07-16: 0.2972026-07-17: 0.2972026-07-18: 0.2972026-07-19: 0.296 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

68 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Kreidler, Ryan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsPull 15%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsOppo 10% LF 339 CF 403 RF 328 2026-03-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 65.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 28.02026-03-17 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 56.0 / LA -79.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 38.02026-03-17 · field out · CH · popup · EV 102.7 / LA 57.02026-03-19 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA -1.02026-03-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 4.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 50.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA -33.02026-03-22 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 13.02026-03-22 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 44.7 / LA -6.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 25.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA 3.02026-04-11 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -16.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 81.3 / LA 22.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.4 / LA 69.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 79.4 / LA 64.02026-04-13 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 2.02026-04-13 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 29.02026-04-15 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 27.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 28.02026-04-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 108.5 / LA 9.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · popup · EV 83.2 / LA 65.02026-05-14 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 6.02026-05-14 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 74.8 / LA 15.02026-05-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 94.0 / LA 11.02026-05-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -5.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 19.02026-05-17 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -12.02026-05-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 40.02026-05-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA -6.02026-05-22 · double · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -27.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 77.5 / LA 37.02026-05-22 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 73.0 / LA 21.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -37.02026-05-24 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -13.02026-05-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 7.02026-05-24 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.1 / LA -15.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 29.02026-05-25 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -4.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 16.02026-06-04 · field out · ST · popup · EV 62.1 / LA 60.02026-06-04 · triple · SI · line_drive · EV 108.3 / LA 8.02026-06-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA 0.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 28.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 50.02026-06-07 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 1.02026-06-07 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -5.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.8 / LA 67.02026-06-18 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 28.02026-06-18 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.8 / LA 21.02026-06-20 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 24.02026-06-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 11.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA 2.02026-06-20 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA -23.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -5.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · popup · EV 86.8 / LA 55.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 27.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 58.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 54.02026-06-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -19.02026-06-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 3.02026-06-26 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 6.02026-06-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 76.9 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · popup · EV 90.1 / LA 78.02026-06-30 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA 2.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -10.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Kreidler, Ryan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 3"
Weight208 lb
Debut2022-09-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.042
wOBA Δ+0.112

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.0σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.366
xwOBA (deserved)0.296

Kreidler’s wOBA sits at 0.366, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.296 — a gap of 0.070, -2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 158 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-05-20Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.254 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs HOU1 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, 3 RBI, R
2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 1 E0-1 | BB
2026-04-15 vs BOS1 HR | 3 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, BB, 2 K
2026-04-13 vs BOS1 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-4 | HR, RBI, R
2026-04-11 @ TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K