Mithrandir Metrics
Player Syracuse Mets Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Syracuse Mets

Tobias Myers

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 223 lb · Age 27

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Syracuse Mets Position P Roster Reassigned to Minors Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024963.0027250138.01271.17
2025123.55226050.2381.36
2026026.26263146.0331.39
3 Seasons10103.7675341234.21981.26
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
31
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
30
Arsenal4 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.90
ERA current pace6.26
ERA rolling p505.01
Observed weight47%
ERA
4.11 4.53 5.01 5.49 5.92
FIP
4.20 4.44 4.71 4.98 5.22
K%
16.8% 18.1% 19.5% 20.9% 22.2%
BB%
5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 8.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.43
31
ERA6.26
9
BB%7.5%
68
K%17.8%
17 -19 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.332
31
Barrel allowed5.8%
79 +41 vs proj
Fastball velo92.6
24
Hard-hit allowed46.2%
9
Whiff%16.7%
7
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Fastball Stuff+110
94
Mithrandir Stuff+106
80
Cutter Stuff+99
25
Slider Stuff+96
13
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Myers, Tobias · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.332 2026-07-07: 0.3122026-07-08: 0.3122026-07-09: 0.3122026-07-10: 0.3242026-07-11: 0.3242026-07-12: 0.3242026-07-13: 0.3322026-07-14: 0.3322026-07-15: 0.3322026-07-16: 0.3322026-07-17: 0.3322026-07-18: 0.332 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Myers, Tobias · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Myers, Tobias · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 47.8%Split-Finger: 22.9%Slider: 16.6%Cutter: 11.3%Sweeper: 1.3% FF48% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 48%FS 23%SL 17%FC 11%ST 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Myers, Tobias · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 48% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 92.6 mphFF93 mphSplit-Finger: 23% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 80.2 mphFS80 mphSlider: 17% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 82.1 mphSL82 mphCutter: 11% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 86.9 mphFC87 mphSweeper: 1% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 79.6 mphST80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 64.9% 270 110 qualified
SL 18.8% 78 96 limited sample
FC 16.3% 68 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 1"
Weight223 lb
Debut2024-04-23
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.80
K% Δ-0.027

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.390
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.332

Myers’s wOBA-against sits at 0.390, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.332 — a gap of 0.058, 1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 48 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching42026-05-22Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.6% K | 4.46 ERAProjection
2026-04-15 @ LAD1 ER / 2 K2.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ SF0 ER / 1 K2.0 IP
2026-04-01 @ STL0 ER / 1 K1.2 IP
2026-03-30 @ STL0 ER / 3 K1.1 IP
2026-03-26 vs PIT1 ER / 1 K3.0 IP